Utshintsho olukhulu kumgaqo-nkqubo worhwebo wase-US luqale ukusebenza ngomhla wama-24 kuFebruwari 2026, nto leyo enikezela ngokunciphisa irhafu ye-10-pesenti yeemveliso zelaphu kunye neempahla zaseTshayina ezithunyelwa e-United States. Olu hlengahlengiso, oluthatha indawo yeerhafu ezimbini ezongezelelweyo zangaphambili ngerhafu enye yexeshana yehlabathi, lukhawuleze lwaphakamisa ukuzithemba kokuthumela kwamanye amazwe, lwavuselela imibuzo, kwaye lwazinzisa ukuhamba kweodolo kubathumeli bangaphandle bempahla zaseTshayina njengoko iifektri zingena kwixesha eliphezulu lemveliso yasentwasahlobo-ehlotyeni.
Phantsi kwesakhelo esitsha, urhulumente wase-US urhoxise iiseti ezimbini zeerhafu ezibekwe phantsi koMthetho weHlabathi weeNgxamiseko zoQoqosho (i-IEEPA): irhafu ye-10% "enxulumene ne-fentanyl" kunye nerhafu ye-10% "ehambelanayo", zombini ezi zinto bezisetyenziswa kwiimpahla ezininzi zaseTshayina ukususela ekuqaleni kuka-2025. Endaweni yazo, irhafu yexeshana ye-10% yehlabathi phantsi kweCandelo 122 loMthetho woRhwebo ka-1974 ngoku ihlawuliswa kwiimpahla ezingeniswa kwamanye amazwe, kuquka amalaphu kunye neempahla. Lo mthetho mtsha umiselwe ukusebenza iintsuku ezili-150, uphelelwa ngomhla wama-24 kuJulayi 2026.
Kwabathuthi beempahla zelaphu nempahla, izibalo zicacile: susa i-20% kwimirhumo emidala, kunye ne-10% yomrhumo omtsha = ukukhululwa kwerhafu epheleleyo yeepesenti ezili-10. Okubaluleke kakhulu, iirhafu zeCandelo 301 ezisele zikho (uninzi lwazo yi-25% kwimigca yempahla zelaphu nempahla) zisekhona, ngoko ke ukungaqiniseki korhwebo ngokubanzi kuyaqhubeka. Nangona kunjalo, uhlengahlengiso lokwehla luphawula ukukhululwa kweendleko okubalulekileyo kweli candelo kwiminyaka ephantse ibe mibini.
Idatha yoshishino kunye nempendulo yabarhwebi ibonisa ukuphucuka kwangoko. Kwiveki elandela utshintsho lomgaqo-nkqubo, imibuzo yokuthumela ngaphandle evela kubathengi base-US inyuke nge-15%–25% kwiintambo, amalaphu, amalaphu asekhaya, kunye neempahla ezenziwe sele zilungile. Iifektri ezininzi zibika ukuba ii-odolo ezilibazisekileyo ziyavulwa, njengoko abathengi ababekezela ukuphepha irhafu ephezulu ngoku baqhubela phambili ngokunika iikontraka kunye neesampuli.
Iifektri zeebhafukwayeIfektri yeeTawuli zeMidlaloimisebenzi ibona imfuno enkulu kwixesha elizayo, ingakumbi kwi-cotton ye-organic ekumgangatho ophakathi ukuya kophezulu kunye neemveliso ezibonakala zizinzile. Okwangoku,Umthengisi weTawuli yePoncho yabantu abadalaAmashishini nawo afumana amandla okufumana amaxabiso kwakhona, uninzi lwawo lufumana umvuzo ophakathi kwe-3%–5% ngaphambili ngenxa yerhafu. Abathengisi bempahla kwamanye amazwe baxela ukuba indawo yokuthethathethana iphuculwe kwaye benze izigqibo ngokukhawuleza kubathengi beempawu.
Ukulungiswa kwakhona kwerhafu kukwalinganisa intsimi yokudlala phakathi kweTshayina kunye nababoneleli bemimandla abakhuphisanayo. Ngaphambili, iVietnam, iBangladesh, kunye neCambodia zazijongene neerhafu ezongezelelweyo ezisebenzayo ezimalunga ne-19%–20%; phantsi komthetho omtsha wehlabathi, ngoku zihlawula irhafu yexeshana efanayo ye-10% njengeTshayina. Ngelixa ukwahlukahlukana kweenkqubo zokubonelela ngeenkonzo "iChina Plus One" kuya kuqhubeka, umsantsa werhafu unciphile, kunciphisa uxinzelelo lokutshintsha ii-odolo ukuze kongiwe irhafu. Oku kunceda uthungelwano lokubonelela ngempahla yelaphu oluhlanganisiweyo ngokupheleleyo eTshayina, utshintsho olukhawulezileyo, kunye nolawulo lomgangatho oluhambelanayo.
Nangona kunjalo, hIindleko zokufaka izinto ngaphakathi ziyaqhubeka. Iindleko zokufaka izinto ngaphakathi ziyanda: amaxabiso omqhaphu anyukile, kwaye abavelisi beedayi banyuse amaxabiso edayi asasazekileyo nge-RMB 4,000 ngetoni ukususela nge-25 kaFebruwari. Oku kunyuka kunciphisa kancinci inzuzo yerhafu. Okwangoku, ulawulo lwase-US lubonise ukunyuka okunokwenzeka ukuya kwi-15% kwirhafu yexeshana, okuya kunciphisa inzuzo epheleleyo ukuya kuma-5 eepesenti kuphela. Abathumeli-mpahla bacelwa ukuba bavale imiqathango yeodolo kwaye bacacise uxanduva lomsebenzi kwizivumelwano.
Iinkokheli zoshishino zicebisa icebo elilungeleleneyo: sebenzisa ixesha leentsuku ezili-150 ukuze ufumane ii-odolo zase-US, ukhawulezise ukuphuculwa kwemveliso, kunye nokwandisa ukwahlukana kwemarike ukuya kwi-ASEAN, eMbindi Mpuma, naseYurophu. Izinto ezinexabiso eliphezulu—ezifana namalaphu asebenzayo, amalaphu asetyenzisiweyo, kunye namalaphu asekhaya anophawu—zikwindawo engcono yokwamkela ukuguquguquka kwerhafu kunye nokugcina inzuzo. Utyalo-mali kushicilelo lwedijithali, imveliso ekhawulezayo yokuphendula, kunye nesatifikethi esiluhlaza kuya kuqinisa ngakumbi ukhuphiswano lwexesha elide.
Njengoko ikota yokuqala iqhubeka, ukutshintshwa kwerhafu kube yeyona nto iphambili ekuvuseleleni ukuthunyelwa kwempahla ngaphandle kwelaphu eTshayina. Nangona iingozi zorhwebo zexesha elide zingekapheli, ukunyuka kwexesha elifutshane kuyabonakala. Njengoko imiboniso emikhulu yelaphu isondela ngoMatshi—kuquka iShanghai Spring Textile Series kunye neEast China Fair—abathumeli bamazwe banethemba lokuba imfuno enamandla yase-US, kunye nokwandiswa kweemarike ezahlukeneyo, kuya kuxhasa ukukhula okuzinzileyo kwisiqingatha sokuqala sowama-2026. Ukuncitshiswa kwerhafu ye-10% akusiyonto nje yexesha elifutshane; lithuba elixabisekileyo kulo lonke uthotho lwelaphu lokuzinzisa ii-odolo, ukuphucula izakhiwo, kunye nokuya kuphuhliso olusemgangathweni ophezulu.
Ixesha leposi: Matshi-06-2026